10+ years · 3x UK Search Awards

Smart Bidding in 2026: Data Thresholds and When to Switch

Updated · 6 min · What changed

Start with Maximize conversions or Maximize conversion value, and add a Target CPA or Target ROAS only when you have enough conversions to read the results.

Smart Bidding is the set of Google Ads bid strategies that use Google AI to optimize for conversions or conversion value, with a new bid at each auction. For Search campaigns, Google names four: Maximize conversions, Maximize conversion value, Target CPA and Target ROAS.

Bidding is the last layer of a Search campaign, not the first. Below, I show which strategy to pick, how much data each needs, what resets the learning period, and how I change targets. Google's numbers link to Google's pages. My rules are marked as mine.

Smart Bidding strategies: which one to use

Check tracking and budget first. Then pick by what a conversion is: a sale with revenue points to Target ROAS; a lead or a call points to Target CPA.

Which Smart Bidding strategy to use? Four questions in order: conversion tracking, budget, conversion values, value history. No on tracking: fix tracking first. No on a budget of CPA × 50 conversions a month plus 15-20%: stay on Maximize with no target yet. No value per conversion: Maximize conversions, then Target CPA. Values reported for less than 4 weeks or fewer than 3 conversion cycles: stay on Maximize conversions and keep reporting values. All four yes: Maximize conversion value, then Target ROAS. Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No No Do you trust yourconversion tracking? Budget of CPA × 50 conversionsa month + 15-20%? Does each conversionhave a value, like revenue? Values reported for 4+ weeksand 3+ conversion cycles? Maximize conversion value,then Target ROAS Fix tracking first Stay on Maximize,no target yet Maximize conversions,then Target CPA Maximize conversions,report values first tracking first, target last Which Smart Bidding strategy to use? Four questions in order: conversion tracking, budget, conversion values, value history. No on tracking: fix tracking first. No on a budget of CPA × 50 conversions a month plus 15-20%: stay on Maximize with no target yet. No value per conversion: Maximize conversions, then Target CPA. Values reported for less than 4 weeks or fewer than 3 conversion cycles: stay on Maximize conversions and keep reporting values. All four yes: Maximize conversion value, then Target ROAS. Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No No Do you trust yourconversion tracking? Budget of CPA × 50conversions a month+ 15-20%? Does each conversionhave a value, likerevenue? Values reported for4+ weeks and 3+conversion cycles? Maximize conversion value,then Target ROAS Fix trackingfirst Stay on Maximize,no target yet Maximizeconversions,then Target CPA Maximizeconversions,report values first tracking first, target last
All four yes: Maximize conversion value, then Target ROAS. Tap an answer to see its path.

The budget question is my rule. The value questions are Google's. Both numbers are in the data section below.

Maximize clicks is automated, but it is not Smart Bidding: it bids for clicks, not conversions.

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How Smart Bidding works and which signals it uses

Smart Bidding sets a new bid at each auction from auction-time signals, and it bids for the conversions you mark as Primary.

Signals in, one bid out Auction-time signals such as device, location, time of day, remarketing list, actual query, language, browser, operating system and ad creative go into Smart Bidding together with your primary conversions. Smart Bidding sets a different bid for each auction. A conversion action set to Secondary is for observation only and is not used for bidding. Auction-time signals Device Location Time of day Remarketing list Actual query Language Browser Operating system Ad creative Primary conversions Secondary conversions Smart Bidding one bid per auction A different bid for each auction Auction 1 Auction 2 Auction 3 Auction 4 signals in, one bid out Secondary: observation only. Not used for bidding. Signals in, one bid out Auction-time signals such as device, location, time of day, remarketing list, actual query, language, browser, operating system and ad creative go into Smart Bidding together with your primary conversions. Smart Bidding sets a different bid for each auction. A conversion action set to Secondary is for observation only and is not used for bidding. Auction-time signals DeviceLocation Time of dayRemarketing list Actual queryLanguage BrowserOperating system Ad creative Primary conversions Secondary conversions Smart Bidding one bid per auction A different bid for each auction Auction 1 Auction 2 Auction 3 Auction 4 signals in, one bid out

Smart Bidding sets a different bid for each auction. Tap the button to see what a Secondary action changes.

Google lists device, location, time of day, remarketing list and language among the signals. Its full table adds the actual query, ad creative, browser and operating system. Google says Smart Bidding adjusts for interactions between “billions of combinations of signals.”

The signals only help if the goal is right. Smart Bidding bids for primary conversion actions. Secondary actions are “for observation only” unless they are part of a custom goal. If a button click counts as a primary conversion, Smart Bidding learns to buy button clicks. My conversion tracking guide shows how to check yours.

How much data Smart Bidding needs in 2026

Turning Smart Bidding on takes little data, but reading its results takes at least 30 conversions over a month or longer (50 for Target ROAS).

Smart Bidding data thresholds: Google's pages and my rules
What you want to doData neededSource
Switch on Target CPANo conversion history neededGoogle: Target CPA
Switch on Target ROAS (Search, Shopping)15 conversions in the past 30 daysGoogle: Target ROAS
Read Smart Bidding and Target CPA resultsAt least 30 conversions, over a month or longerGoogle: About Smart Bidding
Read Target ROAS resultsAt least 50 conversions, over a month or longerGoogle: About Smart Bidding
Start value bidding or set a first Target ROASValues reported for “4 weeks or 3 conversion cycles (whichever is longer)”Google: measuring tips
Monthly budget floorCPA × 50 conversions, plus 15-20%My rule
Budget goal50 conversions a weekMy rule

Switching a strategy on and reading its results are different questions. The Target ROAS page asks for “at least 15 conversions in the past 30 days” before you can switch it on. The Smart Bidding page suggests measuring over periods with “at least 30 conversions, such as a month or longer (50 conversions for Target ROAS).”

In the accounts I manage, the monthly budget floor for Search with Smart Bidding is CPA × 50 conversions, plus 15-20%. A $10 CPA gives $500. Add 15-20%, and you get about $600 a month. When the budget allows, I aim for 50 conversions a week, because learning goes faster. For Target ROAS, I take the cost per conversion from the last 30 days as the CPA.

The learning period in 2026: what resets it

The Learning status “never lasts more than 7 days,” and budget or target changes do not start it.

What starts the Learning status Changes that start the Learning status, which lasts up to 7 days: a new bid strategy, a strategy turned back on, campaigns, ad groups or keywords added to or removed from the strategy, and a major change to conversion goals. Changes that do not start it: budget, Target CPA or Target ROAS, ads and creative, and targeting settings. After a new strategy, a target change or a major budget change, allow 1-2 conversion cycles for results to settle. A change to your Smart Bidding campaign Starts the Learning status (up to 7 days) New bid strategy Strategy turned back on Campaigns added or removed Ad groups added or removed Keywords added or removed Major conversion goal change Does not start it Budget Target CPA or ROAS Ads and creative Targeting settings no label, still an effect After a new strategy, a target change or a major budget change, allow 1-2 conversion cycles. What starts the Learning status Changes that start the Learning status, which lasts up to 7 days: a new bid strategy, a strategy turned back on, campaigns, ad groups or keywords added to or removed from the strategy, and a major change to conversion goals. Changes that do not start it: budget, Target CPA or Target ROAS, ads and creative, and targeting settings. After a new strategy, a target change or a major budget change, allow 1-2 conversion cycles for results to settle. A change to your Smart Bidding campaign Starts the Learning status (up to 7 days) New bid strategy Strategy turned back on Campaigns added or removed Ad groups added or removed Keywords added or removed Major conversion goal change Does not start it Budget Target CPA or ROAS Ads and creative Targeting settings no label, still an effect After a new strategy, a target change or a major budget change, allow 1-2 conversion cycles.
Budget and target changes do not show Learning. After a target change or a big budget change, results still need 1-2 conversion cycles.

This corrects advice you still see often, including in an earlier version of this guide: that a big budget change restarts learning. Google says daily budget changes let campaigns scale “without triggering ‘Learning’ status.” Target changes do not trigger it either.

No label does not mean no effect. After a new strategy, a target change or a major budget change, Google says results need “1-2 conversion cycles” to settle. A conversion cycle is the time from a click to the conversion. For an online store, that can be a day. For B2B, it can be weeks.

Target ROAS when sales fluctuate: change targets in small steps

When sales swing for a few days, I leave the target alone. When the shift lasts, I move it 5-10% at a time and track each step for 7-20 days.

Change a target, then wait Day 0: change the Target CPA or Target ROAS by 5-10% and log the change. Track the result for 7 to 20 days: read it on day 7 when you get many conversions a day, or wait up to day 20 when you get few. Then make the next 5-10% step. Google says a new target can take 1-2 conversion cycles to reach. Day 0: Change the target 5-10% and log the change. After the read: next 5-10% step Day 0 Day 7 Day 14 Day 20 one step, then wait Days 0-7: track, don't touch Results are still coming in. Days 7-20: read the result Many conversions a day: day 7. Few a day: up to day 20. One change of 5-10%, then track 7-20 days. Google: a new target can take 1-2 conversion cycles to reach. Change a target, then wait Day 0: change the Target CPA or Target ROAS by 5-10% and log the change. Track the result for 7 to 20 days: read it on day 7 when you get many conversions a day, or wait up to day 20 when you get few. Then make the next 5-10% step. Google says a new target can take 1-2 conversion cycles to reach. Day 0: Change the target 5-10% and log the change. 0 7 14 20 one step, then wait Days 0-7: track, don't touch Results are still coming in. Days 7-20: read the result Many conversions a day: day 7. Few a day: up to day 20. After the read: next 5-10% step One change of 5-10%, then track 7-20 days. Google: a new target can take 1-2 conversion cycles to reach.
Day 0: change the target by 5-10% and log it. Track it for 7-20 days, then take the next step.

The step and the wait are my rule. Google's page for Search campaigns names no percentage, but it says to “avoid making multiple ROAS target changes within a single conversion cycle.” For cycles over 20 days, I wait one full cycle. The same Optmyzr analysis suggests staying within about 10% of past results.

Five Smart Bidding mistakes I find in audits

In my experience, these five come up most often in the 100+ accounts I have reviewed. If you would rather hand this over, see my Google Ads management service.

Smart Bidding FAQ

How many conversions does Smart Bidding need before you add a target?

Target CPA can start with no conversion history. Target ROAS on Search and Shopping needs 15 conversions in the past 30 days. To read results, Google suggests at least 30 conversions over a month or longer, or 50 for Target ROAS. I add a target once a campaign gets at least 30 conversions a month, or 50 for Target ROAS.

Sources: Google Ads Help: About Target CPA bidding; Google Ads Help: About Target ROAS bidding; Google Ads Help: About Smart Bidding

Which Smart Bidding strategy optimizes for value?

Maximize conversion value and Target ROAS. Both need conversion tracking with transaction-specific values, usually revenue. If your goal is profit after costs, send profit as the conversion value instead of revenue. My POAS vs ROAS guide shows how.

POAS vs ROAS: Why It Changes eCommerce Advertising

Sources: Google Ads Help: About Maximize conversion value bidding; Google Ads Help: About Target ROAS bidding

How do I optimize Smart Bidding with call data?

A call counts for bidding when it is a Primary conversion action. Secondary actions are for observation only. Not every call is a lead, so in the lead gen accounts I manage, I import qualified calls and sales from the CRM. My offline conversion import guide shows the setup. Google's journey-aware bidding was in beta in May 2026.

Offline Conversion Import in Google Ads: B2B Setup

Sources: Google Ads Help: About primary and secondary conversion actions; Google blog: Google Marketing Live 2026, bidding and budgeting

Does Manual CPC still make sense in 2026?

Rarely. In my experience, only for a short move between strategies or a test where I need full control of each bid. As of the week of 31 Mar 2025, Enhanced CPC is no longer available for Search and Display. Campaigns that were not moved now effectively use Manual CPC.

Source: Google Ads Help: About Enhanced CPC (ECPC)

What changed in Smart Bidding in 2026?

As of June 2026, Google shows Target CPA and Target ROAS under their own names, a visual change only. As of 17 Aug 2026, budget-limited Target CPA and Target ROAS campaigns land closer to the target instead of beating it. To keep results, Google suggests matching targets to recent averages or switching to Maximize.

Sources: Google Ads Help: How Smart Bidding strategies are organized for Search; Google Ads Help: Changes to target based bid strategies; Google Ads Help: FAQ about changes to target-based bid strategies

Where is Google's official Smart Bidding documentation?

Start with Google's About Smart Bidding page. For thresholds, read the Target CPA and Target ROAS pages. For the learning period, read About Smart Bidding learning. Every Google claim in this guide links to its page.

Sources: Google Ads Help: About Smart Bidding; Google Ads Help: About Target CPA bidding; Google Ads Help: About Target ROAS bidding; Google Ads Help: About Smart Bidding learning

What changed in this guide

I update this guide when Google changes how Smart Bidding works.

  • 25 Oct 2026: I rebuilt the guide around one decision. I corrected the learning period and the conversion thresholds to match Google's pages and added my budget and target rules.
  • Apr 2026: First version.
Free video review

Get a 15-minute video review of your Smart Bidding setup

For accounts spending $1,500+ a month. I record it and show the three things I would fix first.

Apply for the video review

Below $1,500 a month? Work out your break-even ROAS with the free calculator in my ROAS guide.